Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001067 0.001217 0.001368 0.001533 0.001707 0.001883 0.002077
2025-03-09 0.000788 0.000993 0.001211 0.001456 0.001722 0.002000 0.002312
2025-03-16 0.000593 0.000835 0.001102 0.001414 0.001762 0.002134 0.002557
2025-03-23 0.000489 0.000764 0.001081 0.001461 0.001893 0.002363 0.002905
2025-03-30 0.000380 0.000674 0.001027 0.001462 0.001969 0.002529 0.003182
2025-04-06 0.000307 0.000616 0.001005 0.001497 0.002079 0.002730 0.003496
2025-04-13 0.000262 0.000590 0.001017 0.001568 0.002230 0.002976 0.003861
2025-04-20 0.000175 0.000489 0.000926 0.001509 0.002223 0.003039 0.004016
2025-04-27 0.000105 0.000396 0.000834 0.001441 0.002201 0.003080 0.004143
2025-05-04 0.000079 0.000371 0.000833 0.001485 0.002311 0.003273 0.004444
2025-05-11 0.000036 0.000293 0.000747 0.001415 0.002278 0.003297 0.004546
2025-05-18 0.000007 0.000214 0.000649 0.001320 0.002209 0.003273 0.004590
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000144 0.000562 0.001253 0.002195 0.003341 0.004775
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000090 0.000489 0.001200 0.002197 0.003431 0.004988
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000055 0.000438 0.001173 0.002233 0.003561 0.005251
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000043 0.000437 0.001224 0.002373 0.003821 0.005671
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000026 0.000410 0.001231 0.002453 0.004006 0.006002
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000017 0.000402 0.001266 0.002571 0.004240 0.006391
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000013 0.000413 0.001335 0.002735 0.004532 0.006852
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000002 0.000357 0.001282 0.002727 0.004604 0.007044
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000300 0.001221 0.002703 0.004653 0.007207
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000299 0.001262 0.002825 0.004890 0.007599
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000247 0.001197 0.002792 0.004924 0.007740